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The State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 [NEW REPORT]

Aug 6, 2026

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4 min read

The State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 [NEW REPORT]

Prediction markets traded $111 billion in Q2, more than 2024 and 2025 combined. The full report is out today, and it is free.

Pet Berisha
Omar El Safy
Pet Berisha, +1
New York Want $36 Billion From Kalshi

Aug 3, 2026

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5 min read

New York Want $36 Billion From Kalshi

News Roundup: New York sue Kalshi for $36 billion, IG Group buy Underdog for up to $2.15 billion, the CFTC sue five states, prediction markets post their biggest month ever, and parlays cost Kalshi traders $294 million. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

Pet Berisha
Omar El Safy
Pet Berisha, +1
Robinhood Earn More From Prediction Markets Than Stocks or Crypto

Jul 30, 2026

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4 min read

Robinhood Earn More From Prediction Markets Than Stocks or Crypto

Event contracts hit $156 million in Q2, equating to 20% of trading revenue.

Robinhood want more in Prediction Markets

Jul 27, 2026

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5 min read

Robinhood want more in Prediction Markets

News Roundup: Robinhood want more contracts, regulation heats up, app data shows sportsbook users are switching, FT investigation finds a $9M Polymarket account nobody will claim. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

Pet Berisha
Omar El Safy
Pet Berisha, +1
The Ice Cream Hedge

Jul 23, 2026

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5 min read

The Ice Cream Hedge

An LA ice cream shop is paying 43% of its rent hedging weather contracts. But has the therm 'hedging' now got out of hand?

Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught Betting

Jul 20, 2026

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4 min read

Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught Betting

News Roundup: Underdog go live on their own CFTC-licensed exchange, Kalshi launch forward curves for AI compute, and Trump's teleprompter operator gets caught betting on his words. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

Kalshi's Forward Curves Show Prediction Market Potential

Jul 16, 2026

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6 min read

Kalshi's Forward Curves Show Prediction Market Potential

Prediction markets are now building benchmarks for important markets that don't have them.

Kalshi Lose New York, Wall Street Bans Bets, and Polymarket Wants Leverage

Jul 13, 2026

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4 min read

Kalshi Lose New York, Wall Street Bans Bets, and Polymarket Wants Leverage

News Roundup: Kalshi's court winning streak ends in Manhattan, Goldman ban staff from betting on finance, and Polymarket file to bring margin trading to the US. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

DraftKings Go Solo, Spotify's Rigged Charts, and a Senate Ban Bill

Jul 8, 2026

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5 min read

DraftKings Go Solo, Spotify's Rigged Charts, and a Senate Ban Bill

News Roundup: DraftKings launch their own exchange, a Kalshi trader catches Spotify chart fraud, and Congress takes its first bipartisan swing. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

Omar El Safy
Omar El Safy
Predicted

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