Predicted

Predicted

The Business of Prediction Markets. See What’s Coming.

Four More Tribes Launch Prediction Market Apps With Kalshi

News Roundup: Four tribes launch apps with Kalshi, Blockchain.com apply to run a US exchange, Polymarket rebuild their contracts, and everyone wants the Supreme Court to decide

Pet Berisha, +1

Polymarket

Oct 8, 2026

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4 min read

It's a Longshot

Two in three contracts traded on Kalshi now involve a longshot, Bloomberg found.

Pet Berisha, +1

Novig

Oct 5, 2026

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5 min read

Novig Rumoured To Be Raising At $2 Billion

News Roundup: Novig rumoured to be raising at up to $2 billion, Kalshi's rivals gain ground as Kalshi near a $40 billion raise, Robinhood and Cboe bring earnings contracts

Pet Berisha, +1

Robinhood

Oct 1, 2026

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7 min read

Is Kalshi's Volume Real?

Kalshi's perps volume comes under scrutiny. So how much of the volume is real?

Pet Berisha, +1

Polymarket

Sep 28, 2026

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6 min read

Is Kalshi Worth $42 Billion?

News Roundup: PitchBook value Kalshi at up to $42 billion, DraftKings fall on prediction market spending, Kalshi's longest parlays are priced far above their odds, and Polymarket push for financial status in Europe.

Pet Berisha, +1

Public

Sep 24, 2026

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9 min read

Public Launch AI Agent powered Prediction Markets Without Sports

Public's AI agents can trade event contracts, or use a contract's price as the trigger for a stock or bond trade. Their co-CEO Leif Abraham told Predicted why they've launched Prediction Markets.

Pet Berisha, +1

Polymarket

Sep 21, 2026

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7 min read

Polymarket's US Exchange Overtakes International

News Roundup: Polymarket's US exchange outtrades its international book for the first time, the Ninth Circuit rule against Kalshi on tribal land, one tribe signs with them anyway, the WSJ report a $10 million fraud attempt, and Kalshi face fake volume allegations.

Pet Berisha, +1

Novig

Sep 17, 2026

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6 min read

Novig Strikes Home With Their First Billion Dollars

Inside look at Novig's $1 billion in notional volume 3 days after their Sydney Sweeney ad.

Pet Berisha, +1

Polymarket

Kalshi Moves To Expand Into US Stock And Commodity Markets

Sep 14, 2026

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5 min read

Kalshi Moves To Expand Into US Stock And Commodity Markets

News Roundup: Kalshi files to bring 24/7 stock and commodity futures to the US, Minnesota becomes the first state to ban prediction markets outright, Polymarket hires its first CFO, and Robinhood takes stakes in Crypto.com and OG.com.

Pet Berisha, +1

Archive

Four More Tribes Launch Prediction Market Apps With Kalshi

It's a Longshot

Novig Rumoured To Be Raising At $2 Billion

Is Kalshi's Volume Real?

Is Kalshi Worth $42 Billion?

Public Launch AI Agent powered Prediction Markets Without Sports

Polymarket's US Exchange Overtakes International

Novig Strikes Home With Their First Billion Dollars

Kalshi Moves To Expand Into US Stock And Commodity Markets

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